Volatility

Countdown to 3000 Resumes: Optimism Trade Remains Theme, but China Worries Persist May 27, 2020 9:20 AM   |  

The market appears set to resume its bid for a 3000 close in the SPX today after just missing it yesterday on worries about trade with China. Optimism about reopenings remains the major theme.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
3K Race: S&P 500 Futures Eclipse Milestone on Economic, Vaccine Optimism May 26, 2020 9:38 AM   |  

With businesses across the nation reopening and positive news on the development of a possible coronavirus vaccine, investor optimism seems to be fueling a rally in stocks.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Heading Into Long Weekend, China Tensions Vie With Vaccine, Reopening Hopes May 22, 2020 10:06 AM   |  

Shares have gained this week on economic optimism as U.S. states begin to reopen, while investors and traders have also been encouraged by the possibility of more economic stimulus.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Refresher Course: Rally Pauses Amid Data Deluge, But Overall Pattern Still Strong May 21, 2020 9:24 AM   |  

The market took a pause in pre-opening bell trading amid a deluge of data. Jobless claims remain near historic highs, but are down from previous week.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Chop Chop: Strong Earnings Lift Markets After Tuesday Thud; FOMC Minutes Ahead May 20, 2020 9:25 AM   |  

The momentum turned higher early Wednesday after Tuesday’s closing skid. Strength came in part from Lowe’s and Target earnings, along with a rise in crude prices.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Shopping Trip: Consumers Stocked Up at Walmart, but Market Hits Pause Ahead of Powell May 19, 2020 9:23 AM   |  

Investors are scrutinizing earnings from Walmart and Home Depot this morning and awaiting the latest tidings from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell after yesterday’s ferocious rally. Walmart saw a big boost from e-commerce.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Off to the Races: Vaccine Data, Powell Remarks Light Early Fire Ahead of Retail Health Check May 18, 2020 9:26 AM   |  

Markets have a firm tone overseas and in U.S. futures trading this morning as investors focus on calming words from Fed Chairman Powell in an interview and hopes for progress on a vaccine.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Quick Retreat: Impressive Thursday Turnaround Halted in Its Tracks Amid Fresh Trade Tiff May 15, 2020 9:44 AM   |  

Trade tensions between U.S. and China plus lower than expected drop in retail sales send equity futures lower, ahead of the open.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Sobering Thoughts: Powell Testimony, More Initial Jobless Claims Put Market on the Back Foot May 14, 2020 9:31 AM   |  

Worse-than-expected weekly jobless claims numbers underscore sobering commentary yesterday from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Sentiment Seesaw: Volatility Likely To Continue Along With Market Optimism, Worry May 13, 2020 9:35 AM   |  

Excitement about the economy slowly starting to reopen has boosted shares in recent days. But there seems to be a sense among traders and investors that the economic recovery may have a ways to go.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Catching a Drift: Path of Least Resistance Seems Higher as Investors Monitor Reopenings May 12, 2020 9:24 AM   |  

As businesses start opening up slowly, investors seem to show more optimism in stocks. Equity futures are higher ahead of the open, oil is moving higher, and volatility appears to be declining.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Back to Work: As Earnings Flow Slows, Reopening Pace In Focus Amid “Second Wave” Concerns May 11, 2020 9:28 AM   |  

The new week begins with the market catching its breath following Friday’s impressive rally. Focus this week shifts away from earnings and toward economic reopenings.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Payroll Pandemonium: Historic Spike in Unemployment as Jobs Hemorrhage in April May 8, 2020 9:34 AM   |  

As expected, the Labor Dept. reported a massive spike in unemployment Friday morning. But with the bad news essentially baked in, index futures extended this week's rally in the early going. With the number out of the way, attention may turn back to earnings, trade talks, and the timing of economic reopening.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Crude Shift: Oil Pullback Proves Short-Lived as Rally Adds Fuel to Market May 7, 2020 9:48 AM   |  

A profit-taking pullback in crude seems to be short-lived as export data out of China helped give markets a lift in the early going. But tomorrow's Labor Dept. Report is expected to show a hefty spike in unemployment.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
The Band Plays On? Crude Whirls Baton as Earnings Parade Keeps Marching Along May 6, 2020 9:24 AM   |  

A comeback rally enters its third day, with equity indices flashing green in the early going, and crude oil looks set to enter its 6th up day in a row. But data from ADP confirmed what most investors already knew—payrolls contracted sharply in April. How might this seeming dichotomy play out?

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Earnings Parade: Disney, Beyond Meat Up Later, but Investors Wishing on Crude to Start Day May 5, 2020 9:24 AM   |  

There’s a firmer tone this morning as strength in crude seems to be leading the way higher. The crude rally could reflect hopes for a return to more normal times as some states reopen. Disney and Beyond Meat lead earnings parade later.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Payrolls, Mouse Ears, and Motors: Week Starts on Shaky Ground After Friday’s Stumble May 4, 2020 9:27 AM   |  

he week ahead is likely to be dominated by the troika of GM and Disney earnings along with Friday’s looming payrolls data for April. The market is starting off on shaky ground after Friday’s ugly finish.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Mayday: New Month Starts with a Fizzle after April Rally, Dragged by Slumping Tech Sector May 1, 2020 4:48 PM   |  

May is off to a rocky start with technology heavyweights leading the stock market lower. Added pressure on China brought back trade war memories which may have also played a role in the market’s dive.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Facing a Recession and Bear Market? Avoid 3 Mistakes Many Investors Make May 1, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

The escalating coronavirus pandemic that triggered a bear market in U.S. stocks in early 2020 looks to have tipped us into a possible recession. How can you prepare for and invest during a recession and bear market?

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
Sell in May? It's Starting Out That Way as Tech, Energy, Tariff Talk Weigh on Market May 1, 2020 9:28 AM   |  

After April's record-breaking stock rally, what might the market do for an encore? As earnings results from two FAANG members—along with a few energy giants—drag the market down, the new month doesn’t appear to be starting out well.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Double-A Day: Earnings from Apple and Amazon Awaited After Close to Cap Historic Month April 30, 2020 9:23 AM   |  

It’s the busiest earnings day of the busiest earnings week of the quarter, and Amazon and Apple earnings cap things off this afternoon. A host of strong earnings last night, including from Microsoft and Facebook, are in focus this morning.

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
Bound Zero: Fed Pledges to Keep Rates Low for Extended Period April 29, 2020 3:24 PM   |  

In a widely-expected non-move, the Federal Reserve held steady on the fed funds rate as COVID-19 keeps a lid on commercial activity in the U.S. In its statement, the central bank pledged to keep rates at essentially zero until "full employment returns."

5 min read  |  Daily Market Update
April Markets: Curtain Raising on Earnings, but Guidance May Take Center Stage March 27, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Earnings data typically grab the headlines in April, but this year, markets are still weighing the impact of coronavirus on the economy, as well as the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary stimulus.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Bollinger Bands: What They Are and How to Use Them March 23, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Learn about the Bollinger Bands technical indicator and how it can help identify volatility and overbought/oversold conditions in stocks and indices.

3 min read  |  Technical Analysis
March Outlook: Political Season Starts to Sizzle, but Coronavirus Still Hogs Headlines February 26, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Political season really takes off in March with a host of Democratic presidential primaries. This might become more of an influence on market action as the weeks go by, along with some late-breaking earnings, coronavirus fears, and a Fed meeting.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Surfing the Jobs Report: Why It Matters and Strategies for Trading It February 10, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

The monthly U.S. Employment Situation report—commonly called the jobs report—is perhaps the most closely watched fundamental indicator for traders and investors. Here’s why.

5 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
February Outlook: Virus Fears + Earnings + Fed Policy = Volatility January 29, 2020 2:38 PM   |  

As the 2020 calendar flips to February, volatility has returned to the market in the form of deadly virus. Meanwhile, earnings season rolls on, as do impeachment hearings. Fed testimony also ahead.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
2020 Outlook: Fasten Seatbelts as Election Year Could Help Dial Up Volatility December 17, 2019 11:30 AM   |  

Volatility could return to the picture in 2020 as the U.S. election approaches even while Brexit and China trade issues continue to spin their webs.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
What Are Tariffs and Who Really Pays For Them? November 19, 2019 2:48 PM   |  

Tariffs have been part of American economic history from the country’s origins. Are tariffs good or bad for investors?

5 min read  |  Investment Strategies
Ask a Trader: When High Volatility Hits, Should I Switch from Long to Short Options Strategies? November 12, 2019 3:39 PM   |  

Should you switch from trading long options strategies to short options strategies when volatility levels are high? Sometimes prices are high for a reason.

5 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
As You Wind Down the Road: Market Volatility, Risk, and Your Retirement Portfolio October 18, 2019 10:15 AM   |  

All investments experience market volatility, which is why retirement portfolio strategies should focus on allocating assets across investments of different risk levels.

3 min read  |  Retirement Planning
Weathering Earnings and Managing “Idiosyncratic” Risk October 11, 2019 10:15 AM   |  

When companies report quarterly earnings, the stakes can be high. A single earnings miss can dent an investment portfolio that’s concentrated. Here are a few ideas for managing idiosyncratic risk.

5 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Ask the Coach: This Volatility Is Scaring Me. Should I Be Cashing Out Stocks? October 7, 2019 1:53 PM   |  

When volatility rears its occasional head, some investors consider cashing out stocks. But are there better ways to ride out market volatility? Cameron May explains.

5 min read  |  Trading Strategies
Smart-Beta ETFs: Alternative Portfolio Allocation Beyond Market Cap September 24, 2019 10:15 AM   |  

What is a smart-beta ETF? Explore what qualifies as a smart-beta fund and what systems define this type of ETF.

5 min read  |  ETFs & Mutual Funds
Reaching for Yield: “Vanilla” Investments Can Be Risky, So Know What to Watch August 27, 2019 11:35 AM   |  

In these times of stock market volatility, many investors are looking for yield in fixed income and dividend stocks. However, there’s risk in these investments, too, so know what you’re getting into.

5 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Want to Trade War-Proof Stocks? Ways to Aim for Tariff Protection June 17, 2019 11:28 AM   |  

As trade war fears heat up between the U.S. and some of its major trading partners, some investors may be looking for tariff protection. Here are some things to consider as you aim for a “trade-war-proof” portfolio.

5 min read  |  Investment Strategies
Market Doldrums? Five Options Strategies for Low-Volatility Environments April 30, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

When volatility falls, many option traders turn to these five strategies designed to capitalize on depressed volatility levels.

3 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
Market Volatility: Can Robo-Advisors Help Avoid Emotional Trading? April 29, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Trading with your emotions during times of market volatility? Explore whether a robo-advisor may be able to help.

5 min read  |  Investment Guidance
Surf’s Up? 3 Ways to Catch a Wave with VIX and Volatility Products April 9, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Looking for volatility exposure? Learn about volatility products including VIX options.

6 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
Average True Range: Using the ATR Indicator in Your Trade Exit Strategy March 15, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

The average true range indicator could be a new arrow in your quiver of technical analysis tools.

2 min read  |  Technical Analysis
Retirees: Is Your Investing Plan Built for Market Volatility? March 14, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Temporarily protect your retirement against volatility risk. Here are some retirement- planning strategies.

4 min read  |  Portfolio Management
Leveraged Loan Market: An Emerging Risk in 2019? February 8, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Structural changes in the loan market over the last decade have shifted many loans from the balance sheets of big banks to those of institutional and retail investors. What risks might these loans pose to investors?

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Three Things to Consider for Your Equity Compensation Plan February 7, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Got stock options? Set goals and have a plan. Here are three steps to consider for your equity compensation plan.

5 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Bank CDs vs. Brokered CDs: What’s the Big Difference? February 4, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

CD investing isn’t limited to walking into your local bank branch and opening an account. Learn the potential benefits and risks of brokered CDs and how they differ from bank-issued CDs.

5 min read  |  Bonds & Fixed Income
Things to Watch in February: Earnings, Brexit, and Volatility January 31, 2019 10:00 AM   |  

February’s market seems poised for more possible volatility as investors watch how geopolitical issues like Brexit and U.S.-China tariff tensions unfold. Meanwhile, Q4 earnings season, now underway, is presenting a mixed bag and the government shutdown continues.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
January Markets: Fed Stays ‘Patient’ and Earnings Brew January 30, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Though January was marked by a steady climb in the stock market after a December selloff, the month seemed charged with uncertainty as major geopolitical questions remained unanswered and consumer confidence appeared to waver.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Emerging Risk Trends: Potential Market Drivers for 2019 January 21, 2019 4:00 AM   |  

Learn about several emerging macroeconomic risk areas that could impact the financial markets in 2019.

4 min read  |  Market Insights
Annual Vol Is Nice. What About Tomorrow? January 7, 2019 3:00 AM   |  

Volatility data is focused on the long term. Traders are focused on the short term. There is a way to convert volatility data so it can be useful for the trader.

4 min read  |  thinkMoney Magazine
December Markets: Stocks Slide as Fed Hikes Rates, Tariff Tensions Continue December 28, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

Turmoil struck the markets in December as the Fed raised interest rates again. Stocks sank sharply amid worries about the economy, China tariffs, and more potential rate hikes next year.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Tips for Riding Out Volatility in Your Company’s Stock December 21, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

Does volatility worry you when it comes to the stock you've received as compensation? Learn tips to help manage this valid concern.

5 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Grow Your Retirement Savings to Keep Up With Inflation November 26, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

Here’s why you need to keep your retirement money growing even when you’re already using it (hint: inflation and longevity).

7 min read  |  Retirement Planning
Volatility, the Fed, and the Holidays: Here’s How Investor Portfolios Could Be Impacted in December November 19, 2018 9:00 AM   |  

Investors can expect more volatility in December, when the stock market could react to a number of events.

4 min read  |  Market Insights
October Markets: Volatility Amid Geopolitics, Interest Rates and Earnings October 30, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

The October's stock saw volatile trading that had investors on a rock ride as earnings season got underway. The Nasdaq plunged into correction territory in a sudden late-month slide.

5 min read  |  Market Insights
Six Options Strategies for High-Volatility Trading Environments October 30, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

The recent rise in volatility means it could be time to talk about strategies designed to capitalize on elevated volatility levels.

3 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
Basics of Investing in Stocks: What is a Stock? July 31, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

New to stock investing? Learn the basics of stocks, earnings, dividends, and how a stock’s value is determined.

5 min read  |  Investing Basics
Tips for Portfolio Diversification Amid Market Volatility July 2, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

The recent wave of volatility might serve as a reminder of the importance of using a diversified investment trading approach. Here are some tips to avoid possible traps in these choppy markets.

5 min read  |  Margin
Not All Big Moves Are Created Equal: Volatility and Probabilities January 7, 2018 11:00 PM   |  

Using volatility and market statistics is one of many keys to successful stock market trading. Learn how to incorporate them into your investment strategy.

7 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
Straddles and Strangles: Basic Volatility, Magnitude Strategies October 31, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Learn how option straddles and strangles can give you exposure to implied volatility.

5 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
Earnings Calendar Tool to Help Investors Navigate Earnings Season October 30, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

With the earnings calendar tools available on the TD Ameritrade thinkorswim Platform, you can be in the know when it comes to the earnings season.

4 min read  |  Web Platform
Volanthology World Tour: Foreign Exchange Volatility October 5, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Learn about the dynamics of foreign exchange volatility, and where to find currency volatility data.

3 min read  |  Forex
Black Swans: Part of the Wall Street Menagerie of Bulls and Bears July 31, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Learn about “black swan” events and how you can attempt to protect yourself and your portfolio from adverse shocks.

4 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Mid-Year for the Stock Markets and Sectors: Time for a Checkup July 5, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Looking ahead to the second half, it’s possible that politics in Washington and Q2 earnings could help set the tone. Can strength seen in the first half conti

5 min read  |  Market Insights
U.S. Presidential Election Cycle & Stock Market Performance August 30, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

The U.S. presidential election cycle theory of the stock market says that the market moves based on the year of the president's term. Is there any proof?

5 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Reversion to the Mean: Taking Volatility to a New Level July 7, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Implied volatility tends to be mean reverting. But what does that really mean? Learn how options traders can potentially benefit from monitoring implied volat

4 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
Volatility Tips: When High Tide Is the New Low Tide July 5, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

When trying to select the right option strategies, which do you choose? Looking to IV percentiles for clues to VIX levels may help.

3 min read  |  thinkorswim Platform
Income Investing with Exchange-Traded Funds: Can It Be Done? March 8, 2016 11:00 PM   |  

ETFs have matured but they’re not done evolving. Morningstar’s Scott Burns urges income-seeking investors to expand their minds and their research.

5 min read  |  ETFs & Mutual Funds
Option Strategy Throw Down: Selling Strangles vs Iron Condors October 7, 2015 8:01 PM   |  

Volatility’s tendency to level out after a spike can present strategy opportunities, especially selling strategies found with strangles and iron condors.

5 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
Market Grudge Match: Enter a Trade Using Volatility or Price? October 1, 2015 6:03 PM   |  

Use volatility to pick an options strategy to speculate on a given direction, rather than to replace fundamental analysis and charts to determine potential.

7 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
Intermarket Clues: Are Bonds a Leading Indicator for Stocks? August 9, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

Study intermarket analysis, specifically bonds, for potential clues on the next leg for Federal Reserve policy and stock market reaction.

4 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Is Market Timing Possible? Try Sentiment Analysis to Get Closer July 5, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

Trying to time the market? Add sentiment analysis to your stock trading approach to help narrow the time horizon around an underlying security’s move.

2 min read  |  thinkorswim Platform
Size Up Option Straddles for a Reading on Earnings Volatility May 20, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

Check out short-term options pricing to gain a sense of how the underlying stock could move around an earnings release. You can track straddles or use the TD

3 min read  |  Options Trading Basics
How “Out” is Out of the Money? Options for Fear and Volatility April 29, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

Out-of-the-money call options may be hard to trade when volatility is low, but there are good opportunities for cheaper options trades during market extremes.

4 min read  |  Advanced Options Strategies
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