Trading systems can be too hot or too cold, depending on a chart indicator's settings. Consider using two different Commodity Channel Index (CCI) indicators.
Over the years, I've worked with a lot of investors trying to create technical trading systems. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is one that many try to incorporate into their trading. But as they change the indicator's settings, like Goldilocks's porridge, the experience feels either too hot or too cold. A lot of times “just right” occurs when two CCI's together are used to provide more trading signals with fewer whipsaws.
CCI measures the distance between the stock price and its moving average. At first glance, you'll notice three horizontal lines—at -100, 0 and 100—that help signal changes in trend or extreme movements in the price. The setting used for the CCI sets the period length of the moving average—which reveals why it has trending properties. When you see it cross the zero line, it indicates a break of the moving average, or change of trend. A reading above or below + /-100 could indicate a strong directional move.
Using the 50-period CCI will give fewer, and more significant, signals than a shorter look-back period. However, this can also be frustrating, when watching a stock go up for weeks on end without receiving a bullish entry signal (based on the CCI crossing above 100). In this case, you'll probably find the porridge too cold. Conversely, a 20-period CCI gives more frequent indications of a trend change by crossing zero, and more bullish trading signals by crossing above 100. The sheer frequency of signals may burn the roof of your mouth. So use a small spoon.
FIGURE 2: COMMODITY CHANNEL INDEX (CCI) ON THE S&P 500 (SPX)
Using two indicators together—such as a 50-period and a 20-period CCI—will often provide more trading signals with fewer whipsaws. Chart from TD Ameritrade’s thinkorswim®. For illustrative purpose only and is not a recommendation.
By combining both indicators, you're attempting to provide fewer indications of a trend change, but get more signals to enter a trade. The following table is a breakdown of two bullish entries using the CCI 20 and CCI 50, with the exit based on the CCI 50 crossing zero.
Following is a graph of the SPX, and indicates the entry and exit signals provided by combining the CCI 20 & CCI 50. You'll notice that the CCI 50 only provided three entry opportunities during the uptrend in the SPX from Dec 27, 2011, to the eventual exit on April 10, 2012. At one point, there was over a 2-month span without a signal. By adding the CCI 20, you'll notice five additional signals as the SPX bounced off support along the way.
As a technician, you'll eventually find yourself in the Goldilocks position sampling different indicator combinations and settings. Ultimately, this simple system could be used to trade bullish or bearish trends depending on who's house you wander into.
In thinkorswim, set complex alerts like the CCI system when they occur Go to the MarketWatch> Alerts tab. Then:
1 Enter a symbol in the symbol box and select “Study Alert” in the upper right corner,
2 Click Edit, In the new window, choose the studies you'd like to compare and adjust parameters. Click Save, Repeat for more conditions,
3 Set “Trigger If:” drop down to “TRUE,” Click Create Alert, and you're done.
for thinkMoney ®
Financial Communications Society 2016
for Ticker Tape
Content Marketing Awards 2016
Market volatility, volume, and system availability may delay account access and trade executions.
Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results or success.
Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options trading subject to TD Ameritrade review and approval. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options.
Supporting documentation for any claims, comparisons, statistics, or other technical data will be supplied upon request.
The information is not intended to be investment advice or construed as a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy, and is for illustrative purposes only. Be sure to understand all risks involved with each strategy, including commission costs, before attempting to place any trade. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.
This is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where we are not authorized to do business or where such offer or solicitation would be contrary to the local laws and regulations of that jurisdiction, including, but not limited to persons residing in Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, UK, and the countries of the European Union.
TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. TD Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2018 TD Ameritrade.