How do you find a good stock to trade? I get that question from two types of traders. The first type is someone who’s just starting out, who’s learned a few strategies but doesn’t quite know in what stocks to employ them. The second is someone who’s been trading for a while and who may feel like she’s in a trading rut with her current stocks or indices, or overall she just isn’t finding enough opportunities.
Naturally we strive to be democratic in life. But to most traders, stocks, ETFs, and indices are not created equally. Among the thousands of choices, some underlying products might present better opportunities or benefits than others, and deserve more of our attention. The trick is honing in on a ”custom” short list that you will trade. Finding good trading spots takes time. But focusing on a subset of symbols—what I like to call a “trading universe”—is a way of streamlining and managing the process so it’s less overwhelming. Instead of waking up every morning and looking at thousands of symbols, look first to the symbols in your own trading universe—think home planet vs. galaxy.
The idea is to create a list of trading symbols you can monitor without having to continuously search for new ones. If you’re new, maybe your universe will have 20 symbols. A veteran trader might have 200. Having a consistent set of symbols you observe day after day will also help you build greater knowledge of your preferred stocks and indices, how they move in relation to each other or the market as a whole, whether they’re more or less volatile than other stocks, or react more or less to news events or government data. Consider a few tips on building your own universe using the Market Watch tools on TD Ameritrade’s thinkorswim® platform.
Trading broad indices and sectors. When creating your own universe, you might look first in index products and related ETFs. This can be especially useful for new traders, though this may appear counterintuitive because indices sound big and volatile. But indices, particularly diversified ones like the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are often less volatile than individual stocks because they have less unsystematic risk.
In finance, broadly, there are two types of risk—systematic, the risk inherent to all stocks and which diversification can’t reduce; and unsystematic risk, the risk particular to an individual stock and which diversification can help reduce. Also, some index ETFs have some of the most liquid and actively traded options, as well as single points between strikes. This can help you uncover defined-risk strategies that have relatively little risk. How do you find these potential opportunities?
Scan for your universe of stocks using the Quotes page under the MarketWatch tab of thinkorswim. Clicking the dot to the left of the word “Symbol” gives you access to all the public lists as well as lets you customize the different columns to the right of each symbol. For illustrative purposes only.
Trade what you know. The next stock set you might consider for your personal universe are those issued by companies whose products and services you know and like. Consider the things you buy everyday—from breakfast cereal to gas to jeans to staplers. You may have encountered this approach from famous investors like Peter Lynch or Warren Buffet. But there’s another important step: make sure the stock and its options are actively traded. No matter how well you understand a company, trading its stock and options is harder if those products are not liquid. So what do you do if a stock you like isn’t liquid? Find a correlated liquid alternative—that is, they often move up and down at the same time. Many stocks share an industry group with others, and with which they may be correlated. If you’re bullish on one stock in a sector, you may likely be bullish on another. So given a choice of a more or less liquid stock in the same sector, it might make sense to choose the more liquid one. How do you find them?
Finding Generals Amongst Soldiers. By customizing columns in thinkorswim, you can find other correlating stocks in the same sector that might be more liquid. For illustrative purposes only.
To find other stocks in the same industry as the company you’re considering, go to the Market Watch page and the Quotes sub-tab.
Trade what’s hot. To round out your custom universe, how about the stocks on everyone’s lips? If you pay close attention to market news, you’ll have a good idea of which stocks are “Wall Street darlings” in any given year. (For example, 2013 was the year of electric cars, a solar redux, social media, and products that start with “i” in the name.)
“Hot” stocks can present interesting opportunities, though they can cool off just as fast. Hot stocks may not always be solid long-term investment prospects, and may be suited to shorter-term swing trades that try to capture event-driven price changes. Liquidity is just as important with popular stocks. But there might not always be a correlated sector alternative. Misleading star power? What makes a given stock newsworthy can also make it act less like the other stocks in the sector.
Aside from watching financial news, under the Market Watch tab you can find stocks getting some attention.
Top 10. Under the Quotes sub-tab, click the dot next to the word Symbol in the upper-left-hand corner and select Top 10 from the drop-down menu. Here you’ll find some of the most actively traded stocks, or those with some of the largest daily gains or losses.
Sizzle Index. You can also look at the Top 10 Sizzling Stocks. The “Sizzle Index” compares a given day’s total option-trading volume to the previous five days’ daily average. A high Sizzle Index means a lot of trading that day in the option, which can signal public and institutional interest.
Trade Flash. Finally, there’s the Trade Flash gadget to see market events as they happen in real time. Stocks connected to third-party analyst upgrades or downgrades, to news or corporate events, or to large trades pop up in Trade Flash. Click on the Plus icon in the panel’s lower-left corner on the platform’s left side and select Trade Flash from the menu.
A final stock category that can fit a custom universe may be more appealing to veteran traders. Stocks whose options have higher implied volatility can present opportunities to traders knowledgeable about strategies that benefit from higher vol—such as short puts, short verticals, short straddles, or iron condors. These strategies offer different risk-and-reward levels and capital requirements, which is where experience and knowledge kick in. In fact, your ability to apply these strategies to options can be more important than the actual stock. Liquidity is still paramount even with these stocks, particularly when you’re using sophisticated option strategies. But what the company itself does, or your bullish or bearish stock bias, becomes secondary to your skill at applying the strategies.
Sometimes a stock has higher implied vol because its price has been beaten down. And maybe that’s an opportunity to buy on the dip. Or maybe that’s a chance to sell on momentum. Either way, higher volatility can be fleeting, and these stocks may rotate in and out of your universe on a weekly or monthly basis.
To find these stocks in the Quotes page under the MarketWatch tab, add the Vol Index column as you did previously. (Click dot to the left of Symbol > Customize > select Vol Index > Add Item(s) > OK.) This shows a stock option’s overall implied volatility. If you load a Watch List like the Dow Jones Industrial Average you can sort by the Vol Index column to see which of the Dow stocks have options with the highest implied volatility. You might add those to your universe so you can easily scan them as needed.
Now go out there and build a custom trading universe of symbols. Run your tools once a week to keep your universe fresh. Finding stocks with the methods described here does not guarantee success. But a good personal stock universe lets you quickly scan the market, evaluate trading opportunities more easily, and potentially save a lot of time.
If you don’t know the ticker symbol for a publicly traded company, here’s a quick shortcut in thinkorswim.
You’ll then see a list of companies that have that name along with their stock symbols.
Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of an exchange traded fund before investing. A prospectus, obtained by calling 800-669-3900, contains this and other important information about an investment company. Read carefully before investing.
for thinkMoney ®
Financial Communications Society 2016
for Ticker Tape
Content Marketing Awards 2016
Spreads, condors, butterflies, straddles, and other complex, multiple-leg option strategies can entail substantial transaction costs, including multiple commissions, which may impact any potential return. These are advanced option strategies and often involve greater risk, and more complex risk, than basic options trades.
The naked put strategy includes a high risk of purchasing the corresponding stock at the strike price when the market price of the stock will likely be lower. Naked option strategies involve the highest amount of risk and are only appropriate for traders with the highest risk tolerance. Naked option strategies involve the highest amount of risk and are only appropriate for traders with the highest risk tolerance.
Market volatility, volume, and system availability may delay account access and trade executions.
Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results or success.
Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options trading subject to TD Ameritrade review and approval. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options.
Supporting documentation for any claims, comparisons, statistics, or other technical data will be supplied upon request.
The information is not intended to be investment advice or construed as a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy, and is for illustrative purposes only. Be sure to understand all risks involved with each strategy, including commission costs, before attempting to place any trade. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.
This is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where we are not authorized to do business or where such offer or solicitation would be contrary to the local laws and regulations of that jurisdiction, including, but not limited to persons residing in Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, UK, and the countries of the European Union.
TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. TD Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2019 TD Ameritrade.