Economy

The Federal Reserve Pivots to Easing December 13, 2023 6:27 PM   |  

The Federal Reserve's latest decision suggests that policymakers are encouraged by lower inflation and may pivot to rate cuts in 2024.

4 min read  |  Federal Reserve
Dow Ends at Record High as Fed Fuels Broad Rally December 13, 2023 5:11 PM   |  

The Fed ended its two-day policy meeting with interest rates unchanged and signaled slower growth and lower inflation may lead to multiple rate cuts in 2024.

4 min read  |  Federal Reserve
Fixed Income Outlook: The Rocky Road Bond Market December 6, 2023 3:07 PM   |  

Although some volatility may continue, we believe interest rates have peaked. We expect lower Treasury yields and positive returns for investors in 2024.

6 min read  |  Market Insights
2024 Global Outlook: The Big Picture December 4, 2023 7:03 PM   |  

Our outlook for 2024 is a potentially volatile though gradual U-shaped recovery. Here is how big-picture perspective may benefit global investors.

9 min read  |  Market Insights
U.S. Outlook: One Thing Leads to Another November 27, 2023 3:54 PM   |  

Economic pain is likely in 2024, but that doesn’t mean stocks will struggle all year, especially if there is a continuation of the rolling recessions that have hit the economy.

9 min read  |  Market Insights
Another Rate Hike Bites the Dust November 1, 2023 7:14 PM   |  

With unanimity, the Fed opted to keep the fed funds rate unchanged but remains attentive to the idea that inflation risk should still be paid attention to.

5 min read  |  Federal Reserve
Where Is the U.S. Dollar Headed? October 2, 2023 1:36 PM   |  

Expectations of "higher for longer" U.S. interest rates has helped drive the dollar's recent rally.

5 min read  |  Federal Reserve
Congress Averts Government Shutdown October 2, 2023 1:24 PM   |  

A surprising last-minute deal on Capitol Hill averted a government shutdown—for now. But lawmakers face a new mid-November deadline that will be just as tricky to navigate.

5 min read  |  Market News
Fitch Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating August 2, 2023 3:45 PM   |  

The surprise move takes the rating to AA+ from AAA.

4 min read  |  Economic Trends
Congress Clears Debt Deal, Averting Default June 2, 2023 11:02 AM   |  

With the clock ticking down to the June 5 government default date, lawmakers have no time to lose.

4 min read  |  Economic Trends
Congress Races to Pass Debt Ceiling Deal June 1, 2023 2:05 PM   |  

With the clock ticking down to the June 5 government default date, lawmakers have no time to lose.

4 min read  |  Economic Trends
Debt Ceiling: What Investors Should Know May 31, 2023 2:42 PM   |  

While we don't expect the U.S. government to default, the uncertainty may heighten market volatility in coming days. Here are answers to some questions we're hearing most often.

4 min read  |  Economic Trends
Debt Ceiling: House Bill Passes, Impasse Continues April 28, 2023 1:31 PM   |  

Although the House narrowly approved a bill designed to jumpstart negotiations, the issue is far from resolved.

5 min read  |  Economy
Approaching Retirement? Why You May Want to Consider Growth Stocks September 13, 2022 11:40 AM   |  

Growth stocks and growth mutual funds can fit into investment portfolios of people planning to retire in the coming few years, retirement experts say.

4 min read  |  Portfolio Management
Employment Trends for a Late-Pandemic World August 20, 2021 10:15 AM   |  

Employees and employers are adjusting to late-pandemic work life, including changes to flexibility in the workplace, benefits, and the perception of college degrees.

3 min read  |  Market News
It’s a Special Relationship: Intermarket Analysis in the Current Rate Environment August 6, 2021 10:15 AM   |  

Understanding the relationships between stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies can help you identify economic trends and better manage your investments.

5 min read  |  Investing
With Crude Near 3-Year Highs, Should Investors Worry About $100 Oil? July 12, 2021 10:15 AM   |  

The crude oil market has reached highs due to supply bottlenecks, travel resurgence, and pressure on drillers. Will it reach $100 per barrel?

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
What Are Treasury Rates and Why Do They Matter? July 2, 2021 10:15 AM   |  

Treasury rates can be thought of as the backbone of the global economy. You can use the yield curve, which is a measure of interest rate expectations, to get an idea of economic conditions and trends.

4 min read  |  Bonds & Fixed Income
Renewable Energy, Shipping, Health Care? Welcome to Biden’s Infrastructure Plan May 12, 2021 10:15 AM   |  

A new $2 trillion infrastructure plan is making its way through Washington, leading many investors to seek new opportunities. But which sectors will get a boost?

6 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
3 Monthly Economic Reports You Should Be Checking: Jobs Report, GDP, CPI March 26, 2021 10:30 AM   |  

Monthly economic reports can move markets, so you might want to brush up on your macroeconomics. Watch for the jobs report, GDP, and CPI.

3 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Fiscal Stimulus and Portfolio Strategy: Sail Toward the Action or Stay the Course? March 9, 2021 3:34 PM   |  

Policy makers often use fiscal stimulus to stoke the economic embers and guide the economy toward long-term policy aims. Should you incorporate cues from fiscal spending into your portfolio strategy?

5 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Biggest 2020 Winners, Losers: Pandemic Disrupted Everything, but Showed Value of Investor Research December 28, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

By now, most of us know the 2020 narrative about “stay-at-home” stocks and big tech having a great year while airlines, casinos, and hotels slumped. But is there a way investors could’ve identified the potential winners early? A deep dive into long-term societal trends might be key.

5 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Government Gridlock: Which Stock Sectors Might Benefit? November 18, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

In the past, gridlock in Washington has often been associated with strong outcomes for the stock market. It looks like we’ll have gridlock again in 2021, so which sectors stand to possibly benefit, and is there any potential market downside?

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
Doves, Hawks, and the Three Bears: Taming the Inflation Animal in 2020 September 2, 2020 2:46 PM   |  

After years of tepid inflation—that is, a general rise in prices—recent readings indicate it could be on the rise, helped by dovish monetary policy and fiscal stimulus. Is that good or bad? Here's a primer on inflation and what it could mean for your portfolio.

6 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Business Cycling: The Role of Economic Cycles in Sector Investing June 26, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Markets—and the economy in general—tend to run in cycles, and each phase tends to favor certain sectors. Learn how sector investing can help investors seek specific objectives.

5 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Understanding Consumer Spending, Sentiment, and Confidence Measures May 8, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Learn about consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, personal income, and personal spending reports. Understanding measures of market sentiment can help traders and investors see a more complete picture of market fundamentals.

2 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
CARES Act Stimulus Checks Are on the Way. Should You Spend or Save? April 23, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

The CARES Act, designed to help an economy brought to its knees by the novel coronavirus pandemic, includes stimulus checks for U.S. taxpayers whose income falls below a threshold. Wondering what to do with yours?

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
Investing in a Bear Market? Avoid These Bear Traps April 1, 2020 10:30 AM   |  

Bear markets are often viewed negatively, but they’re part of a normal market cycle. Recognizing and understanding bear markets can put you in a better position to make strategic investment decisions when they come around.

5 min read  |  Investing Basics
Think Black Friday, Cyber Monday Don’t Matter? Online Shoppers Disagree December 4, 2019 10:15 AM   |  

Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales still attract the masses, but the trends—among shoppers and retailers alike—are shifting. Here's a look at the economic impact.

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
What Are Tariffs and Who Really Pays For Them? November 19, 2019 2:48 PM   |  

Tariffs have been part of American economic history from the country’s origins. Are tariffs good or bad for investors?

5 min read  |  Investment Strategies
What's the Repo Market and What Might Cause a Spike in the Overnight Lending Rate? September 25, 2019 10:15 AM   |  

Our chief market strategist breaks down the day's top business stories and offers insight on how they might impact your trading and investing.

5 min read  |  Federal Reserve
What Is a Bull Market vs. a Bear Market? It’s Not Just About Prices September 13, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

The classic definitions of bear and bull markets—rising and falling prices, respectively—only tell part of the story. Learn the details and nuances.

5 min read  |  Trading Basics
Geopolitical Risks and Your Portfolio: Navigating an Unpredictable World August 30, 2018 4:00 AM   |  

Geopolitical risks come in many forms, and can impact an investment portfolio in a number of ways. Here are a few basic points to consider.

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
Grounded: Recent Dow Transports Slump a Red Flag for Economy? November 14, 2017 11:00 PM   |  

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has scaled all-time high after all-time high this year. But what about transportation index?

3 min read  |  Economic Trends
Let’s Clear the Air: What Is Inflation, Anyway? August 29, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Learn the different types of inflation, whether higher inflation may be coming, and how it might affect you.

3 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Three Clicks From Data to Trade: Economic Indicators July 24, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Some economic indicators create more noise than others—learn to create trading strategies based on how markets might react to economic data.

7 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Strategies and Seasonality in Sector Investing April 12, 2017 12:00 AM   |  

Sector investing can help align investments to specific objectives. For investors with many years before retirement, focus on traditional growth sectors.

8 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
The Mighty Greenback: Key Rising Dollar Drivers In 2017 January 4, 2017 11:00 PM   |  

Learn how a rising dollar could impact economies, portfolios, and even your finances in 2017 and beyond.

5 min read  |  Forex
Do Markets Care Who Controls the White House, Congress? October 31, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Does the prevailing political party, Democratic or Republican, really make a difference to the stock market?

4 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Conference Board LEI: A Recession Indicator? October 25, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

While no single indicator can provide a full, guaranteed snapshot of an economy, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) covers a lot of ground.

3 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Spooky Sales Spike on Halloween, May Hint at Strong Christmas October 17, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Halloween spending looks to be on the rise, and that could give investors a hint about the key Christmas shopping season and how it might affect retailers’ bo

4 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Stock Market History 101: Lore Behind the Best Six Months September 19, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Like the changing leaves outdoors, fall signals a change in the historical patterns of the stock market. Learn what the “best six months” has in store.

4 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
Economic Reports Primer: Personal Income and Spending August 16, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Learn why the Fed and traders follow the personal income and spending reports, especially the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index.

2 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
U.S. Dollar Bulls Are Back: What It Might Mean For Stocks July 12, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

The U.S. dollar index (/DX) is strong. Since early May, the /DX has climbed 5.30. What might this mean for stocks?

3 min read  |  Forex
Negative Interest Rates? Unlikely. Still, Investors Can Prepare May 2, 2016 12:00 AM   |  

Negative interest rate policy is a fact in the eurozone and Japan. How has it affected those economies, and what might investors expect if such policy ever ar

6 min read  |  Federal Reserve
Income Investing with Exchange-Traded Funds: Can It Be Done? March 8, 2016 11:00 PM   |  

ETFs have matured but they’re not done evolving. Morningstar’s Scott Burns urges income-seeking investors to expand their minds and their research.

5 min read  |  ETFs & Mutual Funds
Are Some Stocks Stuck in the Economy's Secular Stagnation? September 30, 2015 8:01 PM   |  

Economists and investors toss around the term “secular stagnation” to describe the below-trend slow-growth economy.

4 min read  |  Portfolio Strategy
No Market Trades in a Vacuum: Using Intermarket Analysis August 2, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

Study intermarket analysis for a more complete investing picture. Pull in bonds, currencies, and commodities with typical stock market research.

4 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Economic X-Ray: Off-the-Grid Indicators Fill Research Gaps July 15, 2015 8:01 PM   |  

Use a blend of off-the-grid economic data—from search-engine trends to a real-time GDP figure—to help inform investing hunches.

5 min read  |  Economic Trends
Economic X-Ray: Unskilled or Skilled Labor Shortage? Try Both June 21, 2015 8:00 PM   |  

How companies fix skilled and unskilled labor shortages impacts the health of their bottom lines and share value. On-the-job training needs a new look.

8 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis
Economic X-Ray: Maturing Cloud Demands Data Security June 17, 2015 8:01 PM   |  

Monitor maturing cloud technology as consolidation dominates a sector occupied by tech powerhouses and as providers look for what’s next in security and data.

6 min read  |  Stocks & Stock Sectors
Deconstructing the Dow August 31, 2014 8:00 PM   |  

The Dow has long been viewed as a proxy for the U.S. market and economy, but investors should be mindful of its limitations.

6 min read  |  Investing Basics
Three Must-See Reports for Futures Traders March 31, 2012 8:00 PM   |  

If you're new to trading futures, keep your eye on three critical reports: Petroleum Status Report, U.S. Treasury Auctions, and USDA Crop Reports. Here's why.

2 min read  |  Futures
How to Trade the Government: The Big Five Economic Indicators October 1, 2011 6:04 PM   |  

Traders and investors watch for market signals to time their entries and exits. Which government economic reports are the most relevant to the stock market?

10 min read  |  Fundamental Analysis

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