Investors looking for well-priced, quality stocks might borrow a page from Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham, but only with the help of a stock screener.
Investors looking for attractively priced, quality stocks might borrow a page from Warren Buffett and ‘Value Daddy’ Benjamin Graham, but only with the help of a stock screener.
When I was young, my hometown dedicated the weekend near the 4th of July holiday to day-long baseball and volleyball tournaments. But it was the break in tournament action that thrilled the kids. That’s when the town held nickel hunts.
We were turned loose on a huge mound of sand that hid hundreds (thousands? ... who can remember?) silver five-centers and we could keep as much as we could grab. One nickel equaled one piece of taffy and so with a sugar fix as motivation, I dug with abandon—20 or 30 nickels was a pretty good haul.
One year, I glanced down at the little guy working the mound next to me. He had hundreds of nickels to my couple dozen. I demanded answers. It didn’t take long to get them. This kid brought a sand screen. He would pile sand onto his screen, jostle it a few times, and end up with a handful of shiny nickels. He’d repeat this scoop-and-shake action again and again. Really, it was one additional step to my approach, but it paid dividends (or rather, nickels). Genius!
Eventually, my monetary motivation switched from taffy to less-colorful things like tuition and mortgages. Nickel mounds became the stock market. But the lessons? They still apply.
Investing in stocks can be a daunting prospect when you think about the sheer number of companies publicly traded. Tools, such as a stock screener, can help you simplify the process. Screeners, which narrow criteria to industry, price, or analyst ratings, for example, can cull a list of thousands to a more manageable number.
A screener might help with a variety of strategies, but I find them particularly useful when I implement a value-based strategy. Value investors actively seek stocks that they believe the market has priced too low—in other words, current pricing is not in step with the company’s long-term fundamentals. This means they’re looking for stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic value. The challenge? There’s no “correct” intrinsic value.
Like many value investors, I’m a Warren Buffett fan. But knowing that investors are typically created, not born, I was curious who taught “value” to Buffett. The “Oracle of Omaha” credits Benjamin Graham. He was Buffett’s Columbia Business School professor, former boss, long-time friend, and a guy who Wall Street anointed the “Father of Value Investing.”
Graham died in 1976. His mentoring lives on in his still widely followed The Intelligent Investor which Buffett champions, “By far, the best book on investing ever written.”
Graham dedicates Chapter 14 to his value stock-picking criteria and I’ll highlight two of those requirements.
First, Graham targets a stock’s price-to-earnings ratio below 15, and its price-to-book ratio below 1.5. Combined, these valuation metrics have since become known as “The Graham Number.”
Below, in steps 1-5, let’s tackle this concept using TD Ameritrade’s Stock Screener.
1. Click on the RESEARCH tab. Click on SCREENERS and choose CREATE A STOCK SCREEN.
NOTE: For illustrative purposes only.
2. You’ll see several categories on the left. Under BASIC, put a check mark next to INDEX, and select S&P 500. For this example, we’re starting here because Graham tended to avoid small companies (smaller than the S&P 500) that might easily come under financial duress.
3. Add a check mark to SECTOR, INDUSTRY and SUB-INDUSTRY. While holding down your keyboard’s Control key, click on every sector except Financials. Graham liked to focus on valuing a company’s tangible assets, which could be sold if a company needed to sell them. Since many financial companies are valued on account balances and goodwill rather than a delivery-truck fleet and warehouses, we’ll avoid them here.
4. Next, click on the VALUATION category and check mark P/E RATIO. Click on ENTER SPECIFIC VALUES. Click the dropdown box and choose “LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO.” Type 15 in the box to the right. Check mark PRICE TO BOOK and click on ENTER SPECIFIC VALUES. Select “LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO” under the dropdown. Type 1.5 in the box to the right.
5. Finally, click on the GREEN BUTTON at the bottom to save your results.
Graham purists will want to take screen results and put them to other tests, including earnings growth and dividend consistency. You may opt for that routine as well. The point here is to give aspiring value investors a jumping-off point. Now grab that stock screen and try to grow your pile of nickels.
for thinkMoney ®
Financial Communications Society 2016
for Ticker Tape
Content Marketing Awards 2016
Investools, Inc. and TD Ameritrade, Inc., separate but affiliated companies that are not responsible for each other’s services or policies. Brandon Van Zee is not a representative of TD Ameritrade, Inc. and his opinions and commentary should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation by TD Ameritrade, Inc.
The information contained in this article is not intended to be individual investment advice and is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Hypothetical illustrations depicted are specifically not solicitations or recommendations to trade specific securities or to engage in a particular trading or investing strategy. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.
Investools® does not provide financial advice and is not in the business of transacting trades.
Market volatility, volume, and system availability may delay account access and trade executions.
Past performance of a security or strategy does not guarantee future results or success.
Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options trading subject to TD Ameritrade review and approval. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before investing in options.
Supporting documentation for any claims, comparisons, statistics, or other technical data will be supplied upon request.
The information is not intended to be investment advice or construed as a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy, and is for illustrative purposes only. Be sure to understand all risks involved with each strategy, including commission costs, before attempting to place any trade. Clients must consider all relevant risk factors, including their own personal financial situations, before trading.
This is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where we are not authorized to do business or where such offer or solicitation would be contrary to the local laws and regulations of that jurisdiction, including, but not limited to persons residing in Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, UK, and the countries of the European Union.
TD Ameritrade, Inc., member FINRA/SIPC. TD Ameritrade is a trademark jointly owned by TD Ameritrade IP Company, Inc. and The Toronto-Dominion Bank. © 2018 TD Ameritrade.